For what it's worth, here are my picks. And please be warned that I bring no particular expertise to any of these categories.
Of the major categories, there isn't a lot of drama this year, except for Best Actor. I'm going with Clooney, even though I haven't seen the film yet, because I'd like something to break up the "Artist" dominance. And that's not because I dislike "The Artist" - haven't seen it yet either!
Best Picture: The Artist
Best Director: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
Best Actor: George Clooney for The Descendants
Best Actress: Viola Davis for The Help
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer for Beginners
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer for The Help
Best Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris: Woody Allen
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash
Best Animated Feature Film: Rango
Best Foreign Language Film: In Darkness (Poland)
Cinematography: Hugo: Robert Richardson
Editing: Hugo: Thelma Schoonmaker
Art Direction: Hugo: Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo
Costume Design: The Artist: Mark Bridges
Best Makeup: The Iron Lady: Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland
Original Score: The Artist: Ludovic Bource
Original Song: The Muppets: Bret McKenzie ("Man or Muppet")
Best Sound Mixing: Hugo: Tom Fleischman, John Midgley
Best Sound Editing: Hugo: Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty
Best Visual Effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes: Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett
Best Documentary Feature: If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front: Marshall Curry, Sam Cullman
Best Documentary Short: God Is the Bigger Elvis: Rebecca Cammisa, Julie Anderson
Best Animated Short: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore: William Joyce, Brandon Oldenburg
Best Live Action Short: Tuba Atlantic: Hallvar Witz
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